- Statistical Analysis and Evaluation of Macroeconomic
Policies: A Selective Review
- LIU Ze-qin, CAI Zong-wu, FANG Ying, LIN Ming
- Appl. Math. J. Chinese Univ. 2020, 35(1): 57-83
- #002569 20200414 (published) Views:26860
- In this paper, we highlight some recent developments of a new route to evaluate
macroeconomic policy effects, which are investigated under the framework with potential outcomes.
First, this paper begins with a brief introduction of the basic model setup in modern
econometric analysis of program evaluation. Secondly, primary attention goes to the focus on
causal effect estimation of macroeconomic policy with single time series data together with some
extensions to multiple time series data. Furthermore, we examine the connection of this new
approach to traditional macroeconomic models for policy analysis and evaluation. Finally, we
conclude by addressing some possible future research directions in statistics and econometrics.
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